No Mortgage Bailout Needed…
Just a simple Law that says ARM mortgages cannot reset from the Teaser rate AND the Base Payment (Principle and Interest, NOT the Interest Rate itself) will increase by 1% each year, the money applied ONLY to the Principle, until the mortgage is paid off or the house is sold.
Those with Negative Amortization Loans will have their payment adjusted in the first year to that of an equivalent Interest Only loan and the 1% provision will come into play in the second and subsequent years.
If the house is sold for a Profit above the payoff the Owner and Mortgage Holder will split it equally and if it is sold for a Loss they will each absorb one half of the Loss.
The Owner having to make payments to the lender until his half of a Loss is paid off and until it is they are NOT permitted to get another home loan nor may it be rolled into another one like they do on automobile leases with the deficiencies.
And like Child Support, Student Loans, and IRS Liens they will NOT be Dischargable in Bankruptcy.
The Reasoning is as Follows:
BOTH parties are at Fault. The Owner of the home for taking on more debt than he could pay when the ARM reset and the Lender for being Greedy and Stupid enough to give them the Money in the first place.
They BOTH need to share the pain.
The current Financial Crisis is caused by the Reseting of ARM Mortgages to rates that people cannot afford to pay and the consequent Foreclosures. Its the “Race to Foreclose” that is causing most of the problems.
The underlying asset… the house… is still there and people still need a place to live. If they are allowed to stay in it and continue to pay SOMETHING towards the principle and cover the interest… which even in an ARM’s teaser rate is often equal to or more than the lender would get in a CD today… Eventually the Loan will be paid off.
The owner gets to keep their house and the lender eventually gets all the money back.
Having each party share in either the profit or loss of a sale will even things out… the lender will get some of the interest they would have got if the ARM reset and the potential for having to pay back half of a loss will make people think twice about just selling out for whatever they can get and trying to stiff the lender.
Photo credit: stock.xchng.
Roland: A friend sent me this Paul Krugman column and it’s an excellent summary about how we got into this mess:
Continue reading at The New York Times…
I never said it would be painless..LOL.
A very good article Nina.
One of the problems is Lenders have taken a VERY Short Term view of things while we (especially on this site) advocate a “Long Term” approach to money.
The main thing I see is a Cascading Domino Effect…
Buyer wants house they can’t really afford..
Lender flush with cash (they were at the time) says “Here..you can afford the payments if I give you the money at this Teaser Low Rate but in X years I’m going to Jack it Way Up above the rate that will be in effect then on fixed loans….
Buyer can’t pay new rate so tries to sell or refinance house…
All the loose cash the lenders had has been sucked up….
Meanwhile builders have been churning out new houses causing an over-supply….
Builders can’t sell so they start cutting prices causing prices for already finished and occupied homes to fall…bursting of the bubble…
Lender demands that buyer start paying higher rate..
Buyer says “I can’t but I can pay what I was Paying on the teaser”
Lender knows they can’t sell home for what they are owed because of burst housing bubble but INSTEAD of being Rational and sitting back and giving the Buyer and the market time to recover and settling for just the teaser interest rate for a longer period they Panic and Foreclose…
Buyer loses home and gets a ruined Credit Rating….First Domino….
Lender loses Cash Flow from payments and now they can’t pay the people (depositors) THEY borrowed the money from to loan to buyer….Second Domino….
Panic sets in further…Lender has houses they foreclosed on and can’t sell so they fire-sale them for whatever they can get…Third Domino…
Lender doesn’t get enough from sale to pay back the people (Depositors) THEY borrowed the money from causing them to have to dip into their Own Capital….Fourth Domino…
Lenders Capital level falls below an ARBITRARY figure set by the Government…Fifth Domino….
Government Swoops in and takes over saying the Lender has “FAILED” when “NO SUCH THING HAS OCCURRED!!”..the lender is still operating though in a Panic Mode from lack of Cash Flow….Sixth Domino….
Other Lenders Depositors get nervous and start demanding their money which is tied up in homes the Other Lenders foreclosed on…Seventh Domino….
The CASH is not there but its still there as Tangible Buildings (the homes) but the Depositors and Government think the Lender has “failed” so the “Insurance Company” (FDIC) has to pony up the cash and take over or get someone else to take over the “failed” lender….Eight Domino…
Happen enough times or with a large enough entity (Bear Stearns) and the effect flows over into the Stock Markets and the rest of the economy…
IMO if the Lenders had SAT BACK AND NOT RUSHED TO FORECLOSE but allowed people to continue paying the mortgage…even at a reduced “teaser” interest rate….they would have gotten ALL their money back eventually when the mortgage was paid off and not run into a “Cash Flow” problem.
IMO its better to get back ALL of your Money instead of just a Fraction even if it takes longer and you don’t earn as great a return.
~ Roland